The Inevitable Regression of Nick Castellanos and Carlos Martinez

Hot streaks can mean anything! They can mean a hot stretch in the simplest of terms, a new approach, an improved skill set, or any other multitude of factors. When those hot streaks are at the beginning of the season, a lot more is made of them. A guy could be taking the next step in his career and making strides towards being a better player, and fans get excited at that possibility. However, it can also turn out to be much ado about nothing.

This week, I take a look at Nick Castellanos and Carlos Martinez; two players who will regress. Castellanos is off to a great start and should end up having a career year, but his current production won’t last. Martinez started off tremendously hot, and his regression has already started to take form, but it will only continue to get worse. Continue reading The Inevitable Regression of Nick Castellanos and Carlos Martinez

Running Back Safety, an ADP analysis

If you are a fantasy football junkie like I am, you have probably heard the analysis that in your 2016 fantasy football drafts you should likely take a wide receiver in the first round of this summer’s drafts. Most of this analysis no doubt comes from the fact that if you took a running back with your first round pick in 2015, you were sadly disappointed. Names like Eddie Lacy, Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles and Marshawn Lynch filled up many teams IR spots and benches throughout last season, leaving owners wondering “why did I draft this guy in the first round?”

So is it really true? Are running backs really just not safe first round picks anymore? Should you target another position in the first round of your 2016 fantasy draft? I’ve taken a look at ADP’s over the last 4 seasons and the returns on picking a top 15 running back to answer those very questions. Continue reading Running Back Safety, an ADP analysis

Jon Gray is Better Than You Think

I’ll just say it. If Jon Gray pitched for any other MLB team, he’d be universally owned.

Unfortunately for Mr. Gray, he plays his home baseball games approximately one mile above sea level at a park DFS players know well, Coors Field. His splits tell the story well. At home he’s been more akin to Alfredo Simon to a tune of .361 BAA leading to a monstrous 7.47 ERA.

His road numbers make even Clayton Kershaw blush: 1.38 ERA, .140 slugging & an absolutely filthy 11.08 K/9 strikeout rate. Continue reading Jon Gray is Better Than You Think

Spotlight: Michael Piñata

This was largely expected to be a put up or shut up season for Michael Pineda and so far he has not raised his hand in class. A series of blowups and short outings to kick off the 2016 campaign have left Pineda looking more like a traditional Mexican birthday bashing toy than a major league pitcher and this fantasy owner just wonders who the real Michael Pineda is. Will he ever manage to make his flashes of brilliance habitual and turn into the King Felix type we all thought he would be? Or should we simply accept him as another wildly unpredictable strikeout artist a la Mike Fiers?

Continue reading Spotlight: Michael Piñata

Gung Ho on Jung-ho

Low-hanging title aside, ‘Gangnam Style’ isn’t the only totally awesome thing to come out of Korea in the past few years.

Insert seamless transition to title character.

Jung-ho Kang was having one hell of a season last year until a flying dive-kick to the knee (mild exaggeration) ended his season with all sorts of torn ligaments & damage to the sluggers’ knee.

One hell of a season? .287/.355/.461 from a rookie SS? Yes, please.

Destroyed knee? No, please.

Well, Kang’s back. And he came back with a Terminator-esque vengeance. Continue reading Gung Ho on Jung-ho

Stacking Strategies for DFS

A well-known strategy for DFS is called “stacking”. For those unfamiliar with the strategy: it basically means picking a game or a team on a given day, and making your lineup full of players from that game or team. Most daily fantasy sites allow a maximum of four players per team to be selected on any given day. Here are a couple of strategies that can possibly help you become a fantasy stud. Continue reading Stacking Strategies for DFS

Slumping Sluggers- Don’t Panic!

 There are certain things that are okay to freak out about.
Cliff-hanger endings in Game of Thrones, crumbs all over the carpet, a big hairy spider in a dimly lit corner of your room (don’t look), someone taking the last damned Drumstick (I will find you), The Detroit Tigers bullpen. Y’know. Things normal people freak out about. (Right?)
I frequent quite a few baseball communities, and one thing I see pop up during April, more than any other month are topics like these;
‘Time to start worrying about Votto?’
‘Time to call Carlos Gonzalez a bust?’
‘What’s wrong with Matt Harvey?’ (Oh wait, that was me.)
I traditionally point to two cautionary tales when I start to panic about my own guys during April- (looking at you Lorenzo Cain)
JD Martinez and Carlos Gonzalez.

Continue reading Slumping Sluggers- Don’t Panic!

Pitchers With Notable Decreases in Velocity

Let me start by making a disclaimer: some pitchers have the propensity to start the season a bit slow with their velocity, and they  tend to pick it up as the season goes on. There, now that that’s out of the way, it’s still noteworthy to discuss some pitchers that are experiencing some decreases in velocity early on. These could be aberrations due to small sample sizes, slow starts, colder weather or something alarming. Either way, more will be known as the season shapes up; but this week, I take a look at some decreases in starting pitcher velocities, and what the results have been on their early-season performances. Continue reading Pitchers With Notable Decreases in Velocity

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